Bitcap Gruppe | Markets Sink on Fears About Banks and Weaker Economic Outlook https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com Bitcap Gruppe Mon, 19 Jun 2023 11:42:31 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.2 Markets Sink on Fears About Banks and Weaker Economic Outlook https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=818 https://www.bitcapgrupe.com/?p=818#respond Mon, 19 Jun 2023 11:12:30 +0000 https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=818 Stocks slumped on Tuesday, as fears about the health of the financial sector after the collapse of First Republic Bank collided with broader anxiety stemming from signs of a weakening economy.

Some regional banks, which have been under pressure since Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failed in March, took sizable hits on Tuesday, shattering the relative calm that prevailed after First Republic was seized and sold to JPMorgan Chase by regulators on Monday.

PacWest’s stock lost almost 30 percent of its value, its worst single-day drop since the height of the banking turmoil in March. Western Alliance sank about 15 percent, while Comerica and Zions also suffered double-digit percentage declines.

The moves came alongside data showing U.S. manufacturers received fewer new orders than expected in March and a continued cooling of the labor market that month, with job openings falling and layoffs rising. Oil prices fell sharply, too, as the prospects of an economic downturn would likely cut energy demand. The price of a barrel of Brent crude, the international benchmark, dropped to around $75, near its lowest level for the year.

The S&P 500 dropped 1.2 percent. Energy stocks fell by the most, with the sector as a whole down more than 4 percent, followed by financials, down 2.3 percent.

“The bank problem is going to be ongoing,” said Andrew Brenner, the head of international fixed income at National Alliance Securities. “The idea that giving First Republic to JPMorgan would end this, I never believed it. There is a real fear of instability and an economic slowdown.”

Some investors have made bumper returns betting on the drops in bank stocks, a practice known as short selling. Metropolitan Bank has seen the biggest increase in bearish bets over the past 30 days, according to data from S3 Partners. More than 10 percent of the bank’s stock is now lent to short-sellers. Nearly 20 percent of PacWest’s shares are out on loan, however that number has fallen slightly over the past month.

Karine Jean-Pierre, the White House press secretary, sought to temper concerns over the stability of the banking system on Tuesday. “We have the tools necessary to keep our banking system safe and protect depositors,” she told reporters.

nvestors also expressed anxiety about the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday, when the central bank is expected to raise interest rates. The Fed has raised rates rapidly over the past year in an attempt to cool the economy and tame stubbornly high inflation. But higher rates have also been the root of the trouble at banks.

Some investors worry that pushing rates even higher could prompt another wave of turmoil, as consumers move bank deposits, which earn relatively little in interest, to alternatives like money market funds, which offer higher returns. To retain customers, banks could offer higher interest on deposits, but that squeezes their profit margins.

“So far the Fed has seemed rather obtuse,” said Kristina Hooper, chief global market strategist at Invesco. “They are so laser-focused on inflation, which is a rearview-mirror issue, rather than being focused on the damage they could cause by hiking rates further.”

Based on market prices, investors still expect the Fed to increase interest rates by a quarter-point on Wednesday. But that conviction has weakened somewhat, with bets tilting toward cuts to rates as soon as September, an outcome that’s likely only if inflation falls precipitously or the economy slides into a severe recession.

The two-year Treasury yield, which is sensitive to changes in interest rate expectations, fell almost a fifth of a point on Tuesday, to below 4 percent, a big move for an asset that usually moves by hundredths of a percentage point each day.

Elsewhere, a survey of bank lending conditions published Tuesday by the European Central Bank showed lenders in the eurozone pulling back from lending at a pace faster than that of any time since the 2011 European debt crisis. Worries about a credit crunch squeezing the economy are also becoming more prominent among policymakers in the United States.

Adding to the murky outlook, U.S. lawmakers have yet to agree on a deal to raise the ceiling on the amount of debt the government can take on, with administration officials warning that it could run out of money by June.

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Born in Asia but Based in Britain, HSBC Fights to Stay in One Piece https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=814 https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=814#respond Mon, 19 Jun 2023 10:42:42 +0000 https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=814 For many investors, HSBC, Europe’s largest lender with a venerable place in Britain’s banking industry, offers little to critique: It is performing well and has focused on its most profitable and fastest-growing operations, those in Asia.

But for the firm’s largest investor, the sprawling Chinese insurance giant Ping An, that isn’t enough.

Over the past year, Ping An has waged a campaign to convince HSBC to spin off its Hong Kong-based operations in some way, cracking open the bank’s global empire to improve its financial performance. It’s a move that HSBC’s board has strongly resisted as costly and ineffective.

The clash will come to a head at HSBC’s annual shareholder meeting in the English city of Birmingham on Friday, where investors will vote on two proposals backed by Ping An, including one that would push the bank to regularly consider revamping its global structure.

Those initiatives face long odds, even with Ping An owning an 8 percent stake. Influential investor advisory firms oppose the measures, and HSBC’s latest financial results were strong, reporting earnings that greatly exceeded expectations. But Ping An, which first invested in HSBC in 2017, has shown little inclination to walk away.

From its founding in 1865 in Hong Kong, HSBC was meant to bridge east and west. Since then, it has moved its headquarters to Britain and expanded its financial reach worldwide, with nearly $3 trillion in assets putting it in the top 10 largest global banks.

Still, the company continues to draw nearly half of its revenue from customers in Asia, including Hong Kong and mainland China, with the remainder coming from Europe, the Middle East and North America. And it has moved to sell operations in less important markets, including retail banking in Canada and the United States.

That uniquely strong presence by a Western bank in the growing Asian markets puts HSBC on strong footing, particularly as China’s economy re-emerges from pandemic lockdowns.

But to Ping An and some other investors, the bank hasn’t done enough to bolster its China-facing businesses, instead siphoning off money from them to buttress slower-growing operations in the West. Especially galling to those shareholders was HSBC’s halting of its stock dividend payments in early 2020, after the Bank of England barred British banks from paying them to conserve capital during the pandemic.

The insurer is also worried about HSBC being hurt by geopolitical tensions between Beijing and the West. The bank was criticized in China for aiding the United States prosecution of Meng Wanzhou, the chief financial officer of the telecommunications giant Huawei. But it has also drawn rebuke by American lawmakers for freezing the accounts of pro-democracy activists in Hong Kong, at the behest of local authorities, and for the then-head of HSBC’s Asia operation publicly supporting a Beijing-imposed national security law in the territory.

Ping An is a behemoth in its own right: It is the world’s largest insurance company, but also offers health care and banking. It has pressed HSBC executives to consider various ways of breaking off its Asian operations, only to be repeatedly rebuffed. Last month, it threw its support behind shareholder proposals to require HSBC to regularly review its structure and to restore its dividend to prepandemic levels.

“We have been extremely disappointed by HSBC management’s consistent closed-minded attitude to all solutions,” Michael Huang, the chief executive of Ping An’s asset management arm, said in a statement.

In a concession to HSBC management’s objections, Ping An has proposed listing the bank’s Hong Kong arm as a separate publicly traded company, while letting HSBC maintain a majority stake.

Even then, the bank said it remained unconvinced. That stance was backed by shareholder advisory firms that counsel investors on how to vote in corporate elections. One of them, Institutional Shareholder Services, cited a “lack of detailed rationale commensurate with the implications of the proposal” in recommending a rejection of the plan.

Days before Friday’s annual meeting, HSBC’s first-quarter earnings report probably earned further support from other investors. The lender said its profit surpassed investor expectations: After-tax earnings more than tripled from a year ago, to $11 billion, on the back of higher interest income and onetime accounting gains.

“It’s hard to pick holes” in the results, Perlie Mong, a research analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, said in a telephone interview. “It’s a very strong beat.”

Of more importance to restive shareholders was HSBC’s pledge to buy back up to $2 billion of its shares — a move to help drive up the share price — and resume paying a quarterly dividend for the first time since 2019. The bank’s chief executive, Noel Quinn, suggested the lender could return more money to investors and cited the results as proof of a winning strategy.

“I believe our first-quarter results reinforce our recommendations and demonstrate that our current strategy is the fastest and safest way to improve returns,” Mr. Quinn told analysts on Tuesday.

In a statement, Ping An said the positive results were the result of accounting measures and interest rate rises, and said it still supported the shareholder proposals.

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Markets Expect the Fed to Raise Rates Despite Banking Turmoil https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=630 https://www.bitcapgrupe.com/?p=630#respond Mon, 19 Jun 2023 10:29:45 +0000 https://bridge419.qodeinteractive.com/?p=630

If market predictions are correct, the Fed on Wednesday will raise borrowing costs by a quarter of a percentage point, even as growing turmoil in the stocks of regional banks threatens to choke off credit to businesses and consumers, pushing the economy into recession.

The decision comes amid a brutal sell-off in regional banks’ shares,which has wiped billions off smaller lenders’ market valuations. Investors have been worried about the health of these banks since March, when Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in one of the most prominent bank failures in U.S. history.

Regulators had hoped that the sale of the embattled First Republic Bank to JPMorgan Chase this week would contain the panic. But short sellers, investors who profit off bets that stock prices will fall, have continued to take aim at regional lenders like PacWest, Western Alliance and Zions Bancorp. (Shares in PacWest and Western Alliance are down again in premarket trading.)

The market carnage could result in more pain for regional banks.Falling prices may cause C.F.O.s to say, “‘You know what, maybe I should think about diversification and moving my funding’” out of these lenders, Ryan Nash, a research director at Goldman Sachs, said in a webinar on Tuesday.

He added that while “most of the large failures are likely behind us, I do think there is a risk that pressure on stock prices could reinvigorate” worries about the sector’s health.

Meanwhile, the Fed faces political pressure. Ten progressive lawmakers, including Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, urged the central bank to pause its rate hikes to “avoid engineering a recession that destroys jobs and crushes small businesses.”

The lawmakers cautioned Jay Powell, the Fed chair, that raising borrowing prices could further compound trouble for beleaguered banks.

None of this is likely to deter the Fed from raising rates on Wednesday, analysts said. Indeed, a “shock pause” would “do more harm than good” by spooking an already jittery market, according to Elsa Lignos, the global head of FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

But economists increasingly believe that Wednesday’s increase will be the last in this tightening cycle. Watch what Mr. Powell says about upcoming Fed meetings: If he suggests that the central bank needs to remain hawkish on rates to fight inflation, that could send stocks — especially those of regional banks — especially hard.

Ms. Lignos advised paying attention to what Mr. Powell says about whether “additional policy firming may be appropriate,” a line of guidance he used after the March meeting: If that wording is softened or deleted altogether, she said, it may indicate a dovish turn by the Fed.

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Big investors call on companies to slash use of plastics https://www.bitcapitalgrupe.com/?p=627 https://www.bitcapgrupe.com/?p=627#respond Mon, 19 Jun 2023 10:29:45 +0000 https://bridge419.qodeinteractive.com/?p=627

A coalition of investors that oversee $10tn in assets has called on companies including Amazon, PepsiCo and McDonald’s to drastically reduce their reliance on plastics, saying a failure to do so exposes them to financial risks. The 183-strong group has written to 30 of the world’s biggest grocery, retail and consumer goods companies to warn that continued production of plastics poses risks to public health, biodiversity, climate change and human rights. The coalition, which includes Amundi, Legal and General Investment Management, Aviva Investors, Axa Investment Management and Rockefeller Asset Management, is the largest ever formed to put pressure on companies over plastics. It has urged the businesses, which also include Tesco, Carrefour and Danone, to phase out single-use plastics, significantly reduce material consumption and implement re-use systems for packaging. Angélique Laskewitz, executive director at Dutch Association of Investors for Sustainable Development (VBDO), the campaign’s co-ordinator, said it was worrying that most companies in the consumer and food retail sectors were taking only limited action to mitigate the risks posed by plastics. “Investors are now sending a clear signal to these companies that they will face ever-increasing pressure if they do not act soon to substantially reduce their plastic footprint,” said Laskewitz. VBDO estimates that plastic pollution costs society more than $100bn a year. A study published in 2017 found that 8.3bn tonnes of plastics had been produced since the industry began to expand after the second world war. About four-fifths has been dumped as waste, while just 9 per cent has been recycled. A growing cohort of institutional investors has raised concerns about plastics and the damage to the world’s oceans, especially after David Attenborough’s Blue Planet television series. Some fund managers, including Axa IM and Lombard Odier, have launched funds to tap into the transformation needed when it comes to plastics and waste. The investors brought together this week say companies that fail to take action on plastics will be exposed “to financial risks that threaten value creation and investment returns, given the wave of action to tighten legislation around the world, the increasing number of lawsuits against companies, and potential threat to brand value.” The investors, who also want companies to phase out hazardous chemicals used in plastics, plan to establish targets for each company, following up with letters and calls. The investor coalition is also calling for companies to stop lobbying against policy proposals aimed at reducing plastic waste and pollution, including the Global Plastics Treaty and the EU’s Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation, which is currently being overhauled.

Arthur van Mansvelt, senior engagement specialist at Achmea Investment Management, said lobbying efforts by industry associations were weakening efforts to tackle the plastic crisis. “The Global Plastics Treaty offers a historic opportunity to tackle the problem at source. We need companies supporting its ambition on prevention and reuse, not lobby against it,” said van Mansvelt. Danone, which is facing a legal action over plastic pollution, pointed to its website, where it says it has pledged to halve its use of virgin fossil-fuel packaging by 2040. Amazon said it was “committed to minimising single-use plastics in our packaging all around the world” and that it had eliminated the use of more than 1.5mn tons of packaging materials since 2015. Carrefour, McDonald’s and Tesco did not respond to a request for comment. PepsiCo declined to comment.

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